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Resolving the Discounting Dilemma: Social Time Preference vs. Social Opportunity Cost

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DataCite Commons2026-02-06 更新2026-05-03 收录
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https://www.openicpsr.org/openicpsr/project/244982/version/V1/view
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Because discounting both imputes capital costs of investment projects and intertemporally weighs their benefits, no project-independent discount rate can perform both functions to everyone’s satisfaction. Discounting by the Social Time Preference Rate (STPR) results in undervalued capital costs, while discounting with the Social Opportunity Cost Rate (SOCR) may undervalue future benefits – at least in the eyes of those making the opposite choice, as generally STPR&lt;SOCR. This article proposes a two-rate discounting method that uses the SOCR only to compute capital costs but not to discount future benefits and uses the STPR to discount future benefits but not to compute capital costs. There is no need to choose between the STPR and the SOCR, both are needed to reach correct BCA conclusions. If there is agreement on the value of the SOCR, there will be agreement on which projects are feasible because, regardless of the value of the STPR, the SOCR is the hurdle feasibility rate. Two-rate discounting is a more accurate correction to single rate social time preference (STP) discounting than the shadow price of capital (SPC) or the marginal cost of funds (MCF) corrections.<br>
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ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research
创建时间:
2026-02-06
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