Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections
收藏NBER2024-10-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w33016
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资源简介：
Many influential observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections since 1952. We envision
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2024-10-01
