Efficient Probabilistic Prediction and Uncertainty Quantification of Tropical Cyclone-driven Storm Tides and Inundation: Model Data and Analysis Code

This repository contains model data and analysis codes related to the manuscript entitled "Efficient Probabilistic Prediction and Uncertainty Quantification of Tropical Cyclone-driven Storm Tides and Inundation", as follows: Model data are maximum water surface elevations of ensemble 48-hr forecast ADCIRC model simulations for three historical US landfalling hurricanes: 2017 Irma, 2018 Florence, and 2020 Laura. These are located in the "NameYYYY_Results.tar" archive files as "maxele.63.nc" files. Also included in the tar files are the hurricane forecast track files in Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) system format (*.22) and the error variable parameters (*.json) for each forecast. Model data of best-track runs for the 2017 Irma, 2018 Florence, and 2020 Laura hurricanes, and astronomical tide-only runs for the corresponding time periods are located in the "NameYYYY_besttrack+tides.tar" archive files. Both the maximum water surface elevations "maxele.63.nc" and the time series of water surface elevations "fort.63.nc" are included. ADCIRC input mesh (*.14) and mesh property files (*.13) are included in "ADCIRC_mesh_files.zip". Joint Karhunen-Loeve Polynomial Chaos (KL-PC) analysis python scripts with and without considering inundation are located in "klpc_analysis_scripts.zip". Requires EnsemblePerturbation python toolbox. Python scripts for analyzing and plotting the KL-PC results (Figures 6-14 and Table 1 in the manuscript) are located in "results_plotting_scripts.zip". Requires EnsemblePerturbation python toolbox.