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Lack of Trust and Fiscal Dominance: Evidence from a Firm Survey Experiment

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NBER2026-06-01 更新2026-06-16 收录
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We study how debt news shapes firms inflation expectations in a monetary union. In an active-control experiment, German firms receive optimistic or pessimistic projections of France, Italy, and Spains debt-to-GDP ratios. Pessimistic news raises debt beliefs and increases one- and three-year

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2026-06-01
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