Juvenile Tree Responses to Soil Warming at Harvard Forest since 1995

The main goal of this study is to assess eastern tree species’ growth, survivorship, and phenological responses to soil warming in order to forecast future changes in forest succession and carbon dynamics. From 2003 through 2010, we determined that shade-tolerant, normally slower-growing species benefitted most from warming. We are continuing to study species-species responses to investigate the duration of and mechanisms behind species- and functional group responses to climate warming. Monitoring long-term demographic and physiological responses of juvenile trees with and without soil warming will allow us to model future eastern tree species successional shifts under warmer climate conditions.