Target scenarios for residual municipal waste reductions in the EU-27 2030

The European Union (EU-27) currently recycles roughly 48 percent of municipal waste each year, leaving approximately 113 million metric tons of residual municipal waste (neither recycled nor reused) annually. Under the European Commission's Waste Framework Directive, residual municipal waste needs to be reduced by 50 percent by 2030 to roughly 56.5 million metric tons. However, the EU is currently not on track to reach this target without reducing total municipal waste. Under the Waste Framework Directive, at least 60 percent of EU municipal waste should be prepared for reuse or to be recycled by 2030. However, as Scenario 1 shows, even if this target is met, the residual waste target would be missed should total municipal waste generation continue to rise on a business as usual approach. In scenario 2, the target could be met should there be no waste reduction, but this would require EU Member States to reach an ambitious recycling rate of 73 percent by 2030.

欧盟（欧盟-27）目前每年回收约48%的市政废物，每年产生约1130万吨的剩余市政废物（既未回收也未再利用）。根据欧盟委员会的废物框架指令，剩余市政废物需要到2030年减少50%，降至约5650万吨。然而，欧盟目前并未按照这一目标发展，除非减少总市政废物量。根据废物框架指令，至少60%的欧盟市政废物应于2030年前准备用于再利用或回收。然而，正如情景1所示，即使达到这一目标，如果总市政废物产生量继续按照常规方式上升，剩余废物目标仍将无法实现。在情景2中，如果没有废物减少，目标可以达成，但需要欧盟成员国到2030年实现73%的雄心勃勃的回收率。