Auburn Coherence Framework: Global Outlook & Geostrophic Signals (Feb-May 2026)

Executive Summary: This document presents the forward probability signals for the February-May 2026 window, derived from the Auburn Coherence Framework v1.2 (Internal Build). Unlike standard Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), this framework isolates "Geometric Lock-in" regimes—periods where atmospheric blocking structures minimize internal dissipation, creating extended predictability windows for extreme events.Key Risk Signals:The Great Eurasian Divergence: Identification of a 5-6 day "Omega Block" persistence favoring a Spring Festival Freeze (China) and a "Beast from the East" analog (Europe).The California Flush: A calculated "Coherence Lock" (C(t)>0.80) on the North Pacific storm track, projecting a repeating Atmospheric River train targeting the Sierra Nevada burn scars.South American Dipole: High-confidence projection of a "Wet Core / Dry Flanks" regime, maximizing agricultural basis risk between the Pampas (Drought) and SE Brazil (Flood).Methodology Note: This release contains the operational signal outputs and verification protocols. The underlying governing equations and coherence decay tensors (λd​) are proprietary and have been redacted from this public version.Licensing: Strictly Non-Commercial (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0). Institutional licensing for HFT/Risk integration requires direct authorization.