Scenarios for population development of the communes of Canton Lucerne

The LUSTAT population scenarios for the canton of Lucerne are model calculations that extrapolate the development of the permanent resident population at the municipal level. Three variants were calculated for each scenario, which differ in the underlying hypotheses. They take into account model assumptions based on demographic and socioeconomic trends of recent decades. The year of calculation of the key figures on which the calculations are based on corresponds to the year 2024. The permanent resident population as of 31.12.2023 and additionally persons with protection status S is used as the initial stock for the scenarios.