Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation
收藏NBER1991-08-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/t0111
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资源简介：
This paper shows how probability questions can be answered within the context of macroeconometric models by using stochastic simulation. One can estimate, for example, the probability of a recession occurring within some fixed period in the future. Probability estimates are presented for two
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
1991-08-01
