ARD-DeutschlandTrend 2021

Since 1997, the ARD-DeutschlandTREND has been conducted by Infratest dimap Gesellschaft für Trend- und Wahlforschung mbH on behalf of the Association of Public Broadcasting Corporations in the Federal Republic of Germany (ARD) and various print media. From 2021, the ARD-DeutschlandTREND will be surveyed on behalf of ARD-Tagesthemen and the daily newspaper DIE WELT. Up to and including February 2021, the monthly surveys were conducted in telephone interviews (CATI) with approx. 1000 respondents (for party preference approx. 1500) per wave. Starting in March 2021, both telephone interviews (CATI) and online interviews (CAWI) were conducted with approximately 1300 respondents per wave. The attitudes and assessments of the voting population regarding parties, politicians and current political issues were recorded. Respondents for the telephone interviews were selected using a multistage random sample from the ADM selection framework for telephone sampling, including landline and mobile phone numbers (dual-frame sampling). Respondents for the online interviews were selected using a stratified random sample from an online access panel. Some questions are repeated at each survey time and asked in an identical manner, while other topics are only surveyed in one or more survey months. The ARD-DeutschlandTREND is available as an annual cumulation for the years starting in 1998.<br>Party preference in the next federal election (Sunday poll); Satisfaction with selected top politicians (Annalena Baerbock, Alexander Gauland, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, Armin Laschet, Andreas Scheuer, Alice Weidel, Christian Lindner, Dietmar Bartsch, Franziska Giffey, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Heiko Maas, Horst Seehofer, Julia Klöckner, Jörg Meuthen, Jens Spahn, Janine Wissler, Katja Kipping, Angela Merkel, Markus Söder, Norbert Walter-Borjans, Olaf Scholz, Peter Altmaier, Robert Habeck, Saskia Esken, Tino Chrupalla, Ursula von der Leyen, Christine Lambrecht, Susanne Hennig-Wellsow, Amira Mohamed Ali, Ralph Brinkhaus); party competence: Most competent party to solve selected political tasks (ensuring adequate wages, securing old-age pensions, good asylum and refugee policy, reliable foreign policy, advancing digitalisation, leading Germany well through the Corona crisis, good family policy and childcare, good environmental policy, solving Germany´s most important tasks, advancing Germany´s economy); Chancellor preference (Annalena Baerbock or Armin Laschet or Olaf Scholz); Corona: Advocacy of general compulsory vaccination against the Corona virus for persons 18 years and older in Germany; willingness in principle to be vaccinated against Corona; assessment of the EU vaccination strategy for joint procurement of the Corona vaccine; advocacy of special rights for vaccinated persons (vaccination privileges); assessment of the pace at which Corona vaccinations are carried out in Germany; satisfaction with the federal government´s Corona crisis management; satisfaction with the federal government´s Corona crisis management in the areas of organisation of school operations and daycare as well as justification and explanation of Corona measures by politicians; advocacy or rejection of individual Corona measures (closing of schools or Suspension of compulsory attendance, restriction of child day care, closure of bars and pubs, closure of restaurants, closure of cultural institutions such as theatres or cinemas, closure of retail and service establishments with the exception of shops for daily use, ban on tourist overnight stays for hotels and accommodation establishments, restrictions on contacts, closure of Christmas markets, football matches in the Bundesliga without an audience); assessment of current Corona measures as adequate, going too far or not going far enough; concerns about infection with the Corona virus (self and family members); concerns related to the Corona pandemic (deterioration of the personal economic situation and the economic situation in Germany, longer-term restriction of civil liberties, adequate medical care not available for all sufferers, impairment of children´s development due to restricted care and schooling options, significant increase in Corona infections in Germany in the coming weeks, infection with the Corona virus, infection of children who cannot yet be vaccinated, severe illness of the elderly, new variants of the Corona virus, loneliness); Angela Merkel´s qualities (likeable, competent, strong leader, credible); good chancellor candidates of the Greens (Annalena Baerbock, Robert Habeck) and the CDU/CSU (Armin Laschet, Friedrich Merz, Markus Söder, Norbert Röttgen); confidence in the effectiveness of international climate policy; assessment of the commitment of politics in Germany to climate protection; assessment of the need for action on climate protection; profile comparison of the candidates for chancellor Armin Laschet, Olaf Scholz and Annalena Baerbock in terms of likeability, leadership, credibility and competence; opinion on the introduction of a speed limit of 130 kilometres per hour on German motorways; assessment of the current economic situation in Germany; most important political problems in Germany; mood for change: Party that should lead the next federal government; appropriate measures for environmental and climate protection (higher prices for air travel); agreement with statements on Corona vaccinations (I personally feel that Corona vaccinations in Germany are treated fairly, I think it is right that the previous priority for high-risk and occupational groups in Corona vaccinations is lifted, I would like to see children aged 12 and over also vaccinated as soon as possible); opinion on the temporal validity of relaxations for vaccinated and recovered persons; opinion on lifting restrictions for vaccinated and recovered persons; agreement with statements on Corona: At Easter, I am a bit more relaxed about the Corona regulations in order to meet friends and family again, the federal government repeatedly promised more than it could deliver during the pandemic, I have lost track of what is currently permitted and what is prohibited, too little was done for the most vulnerable during Corona, the pandemic shows that, all in all, we in our country can also cope well with crises); the emergency brake agreed by the federal government and the federal states should be implemented vs. regionally reviewed and reweighed; advocacy of a tougher lockdown; satisfaction with Corona crisis management in terms of help for businesses and the self-employed and the use of Corona quick and self-tests; assessment of the need for reform in Germany; composition of the next federal government: Assessment of future coalitions of CDU/CSU and SPD, of SPD, Greens and FDP and of CDU/CSU, Greens and FDP); satisfaction with the work of the federal government; assessment of Angela Merkel´s withdrawal for Germany; preferred politician for the post of new CDU party leader; opinion on the extension of the lockdown beyond 10. January; expectations regarding a return to normality without Corona restrictions; support for measures to finance Corona costs (levy taxes on high wealth, increase contributions to health and pension insurance, take out new public loans, sell state stakes in companies); satisfaction with Corona crisis management in Germany in terms of procurement of Corona vaccines, provision and use of Corona rapid tests, organisation of Corona vaccinations and help for business and the self-employed, and in Corona vaccinations; preferences regarding the general Corona course in the coming weeks and in individual sectors (restaurants and catering, shops and shops, gyms and sports facilities, cinemas, museums and theatres, hotels and overnight accommodation, and schools); preference for regional vs. central corona arrangements; voting motives (top candidate or the party´s top candidate or the party´s contents and positions); opinion on the introduction of chargeable Corona tests for the unvaccinated; opinion on exempting fully vaccinated people from Corona requirements; reasons for non-vaccination against the Corona virus (vaccination side-effects, possible unknown health consequences, no fear of Corona infection, fundamentally against vaccination, because of a previous illness); balance sheet of Angela Merkel after 16 years as Federal Chancellor; advocacy of various Corona measures in schools (equip all school rooms with air filters, keep masks compulsory for pupils in class as a matter of principle, offer alternate lessons again in case of high infection rates, keep Corona tests for non-vaccinated pupils, twice a week); children between 12 and 15 in the household; plans for summer holidays (trip to other European countries, trip to a country outside Europe, holiday in Germany, not yet decided, will not go on holiday at all); appropriate measures for environmental and climate protection (switch from combustion engine to electric drive for cars, general speed limit of 130 kilometres per hour on motorways, increase in price of foodstuffs such as meat, milk, sausage, cheese and eggs, increase in price of products, goods and services in accordance with the CO2 emissions produced in their manufacture, greater increase in petrol price); satisfaction with the outcome of the Federal Parliament Election; participation in a CDU/CSU-led federal government with the FDP would tend to benefit or harm the Greens in the long run; participation in an SPD-led federal government with the Greens would tend to benefit or harm the FDP in the long run; Olaf Scholz would be a good chancellor; Armin Laschet would be a good chancellor; opinion on raising the minimum wage (should be raised to 12 euros per hour to secure subsistence vs. raising the minimum wage to 12 euros would endanger too many jobs); preferences tax policy (tax increase for individual groups or basically no increase in taxes); abolish compulsory masks at schools vs. keep them; inflation: how much have the price increases affected consumer prices; Corona outbreak: concern that public life will again be more restricted in the coming weeks and that the health system will reach its limits; advocacy of compulsory vaccination for certain occupational groups (e.g. in the health sector); reasons for lack of conviction in the international community´s problem-solving competence with regard to climate change (states see too much of their own interests, states shy away from harsh cuts, states think in the short term and the dangers of climate change seem too far away); changes and restrictions in personal lifestyles for better climate protection; party that prevailed most in the coalition negotiations; assessment of the coalition agreement with regard to the right answers to the questions of the future; evaluation of the contents of the coalition agreement (raising the minimum wage from currently 9.60 EUR to 12 EUR per hour, bringing forward the phase-out of coal in electricity generation from 2038 to possibly 2030, stronger expansion of renewable energies, review of all laws with regard to their consequences for the climate, lowering the minimum age for Federal Parliament Election from 18 to 16, legalising cannabis for adults, buying armed combat drones for the Bundeswehr, simplifying naturalisation for migrants in Germany, bundling state benefits for children in a basic child allowance, abolishing the ban on advertising abortions); confidence in the pension policy of the traffic light coalition with regard to long-term pension security; satisfaction with corona crisis management in the federal and state governments; responsibility for poor corona crisis management in Germany (the still running federal government of the CDU/CSU and SPD, SPD, Greens and FDP, who want to form the new federal government, or the federal states).

Demography: sex; age; employment; occupational status; education; net household income.

Additionally coded: Record or pagination number; wave identifier; region (east/west); federal state; official district key; weighting factor.