反刍与社交焦虑交叉滞后研究数据.xlsx

Background: Social anxiety, which is widely prevalent among Chinese college students, poses a significant barrier to their holistic psychological and physiological development. Although numerous cross-sectional studies have examined the relationship between rumination and social anxiety, there is still a gap in understanding their interplay over time. This longitudinal study aimed to explore and analyze the intricate interrelations between these two factors, with the ultimate goal of informing the development of effective mental health education interventions for university students. Methods: Using the Ruminative Responses Scale (RRS) and the Interaction Anxiousness Scale (IAS), a two-stage longitudinal follow-up study of 392 college students from three universities in Henan Province was conducted over a six-month period (October 2022 to March 2023) using a cross-lagged model to explore the correlation between rumination and social anxiety. The results of the correlation analysis showed that rumination was positively associated with social anxiety at both time points (r = 0.18,0.12, p<0.01). Results: Cross-lagged regression analyses revealed that the predictive effect of the first measure (T1) rumination on the second measure (T2) rumination was statistically significant (β = 0.32, p < 0.001). The predictive effect of T1 social anxiety on T2 social anxiety was statistically significant (β = 0.65, p < 0.001), the predictive effect of T1 rumination on T2 social anxiety was statistically significant (β = 0.33, p < 0.001), and the prediction of T1 social anxiety on T2 rumination was statistically significant (β = 0.28, p < 0.001). Conclusion: College students’ rumination and social anxiety are mutually predictive of each other, and interventions by educators in either of these areas have the potential to interrupt the vicious cycle between ruminant thinking and social anxiety.

研究背景：社交焦虑在中国大学生群体中广泛流行，对其全面的心理与生理发展构成显著阻碍。尽管已有大量横断面研究探讨了反刍思维与社交焦虑的关联，但目前对二者随时间推移的相互作用仍存在认知空白。本纵向研究旨在探索并分析这两种因素间的复杂内在关联，最终目标是为制定针对大学生的有效心理健康教育干预方案提供依据。研究方法：本研究采用反刍思维反应量表（Ruminative Responses Scale, RRS）与交往焦虑量表（Interaction Anxiousness Scale, IAS），于2022年10月至2023年3月间，对河南省三所高校的392名大学生开展为期六个月的两阶段纵向追踪研究，并通过交叉滞后模型（cross-lagged model）探究反刍思维与社交焦虑的相关性。相关分析结果显示，两个时间点的反刍思维与社交焦虑均呈显著正相关（r=0.18、0.12，p<0.01）。研究结果：交叉滞后回归分析结果表明，首次测量（T1）的反刍思维对第二次测量（T2）的反刍思维的预测效应具有统计学意义（β=0.32，p<0.001）；T1社交焦虑对T2社交焦虑的预测效应具有统计学意义（β=0.65，p<0.001）；T1反刍思维对T2社交焦虑的预测效应具有统计学意义（β=0.33，p<0.001）；且T1社交焦虑对T2反刍思维的预测效应同样具有统计学意义（β=0.28，p<0.001）。研究结论：大学生的反刍思维与社交焦虑二者可相互预测，教育工作者针对任一维度开展干预，均有望打破反刍思维与社交焦虑之间的恶性循环。