IPCC Data Distribution Centre : Second Assessment Report data sets

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has been established by WMO
and UNEP to assess scientific, technical and socio-economic information, relevant
for the understanding of climate change, its potential impacts and option for
adaption and migration. Projection of future trends for a number of key variables
are provided through this section of the DDC (http://ipcc-data.org/sim/gcm_clim/IS92A_SAR/).
This information contained in either IS92 emission scenarios (IPCC 1992) or published
model studies using data from these scenarios. Six alternative IPCC scenarios (IS92a to f)
were published in the 1992 Supplementary Report to the IPCC Assessment.
These scenarios embodied a wide array of assumption affecting how future greenhouse gas
emissions might evolve in the absence of climate policies beyond those already adoped.
Model experiments, also using different forcing scenarios, were calculated at other
modeling centres. Leggett, J., W.J. Pepper and R.J. Swart, 1992: Emissio
ns Scenarios for IPCC: An Update. In: Climate Change 1992. The Supplementary Report to the
IPCC Scientific Assessment [Houghton, J.T., B.A. Callander and S.K. Varney (eds.)],
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 69-95.
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Model experiments, also using IS92a forcing scenarios, were calculated at other modeling centres:
NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research, USA)
GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, USA)
CCCma (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Canada)
CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Australia)
Hadley Centre (Met Office Hadley Centre, UK)
CCSR (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Japan)
DKRZ (German Climate Computing Center, Germany)
MPI-M (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany)
and more.

政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）由世界气象组织（WMO）和联合国环境规划署（UNEP）共同设立，旨在评估与气候变化理解、其潜在影响以及适应和迁移选项相关的科学、技术和社会经济信息。通过DDC（http://ipcc-data.org/sim/gcm_clim/IS92A_SAR/）本节提供了若干关键变量的未来趋势预测。这些信息包含在IS92排放情景（IPCC 1992）或使用这些情景数据发表的模型研究中。1992年IPCC评估补充报告中发布了六种替代IPCC情景（IS92a至f），这些情景涵盖了广泛的影响未来温室气体排放演变的假设，即使在未采取额外气候政策的情况下。在其他建模中心也进行了使用IS92a强迫情景的模型实验。Leggett, J., W.J. Pepper 和 R.J. Swart, 1992: IPCC排放情景更新。载于《气候变化1992》。IPCC科学评估补充报告[Houghton, J.T., B.A. Callander 和 S.K. Varney (eds.)]，剑桥大学出版社，剑桥，英国，第69-95页。

使用IS92a强迫情景的模型实验也在其他建模中心进行：美国国家大气研究中心（NCAR）、美国地球流体动力学实验室（GFDL）、加拿大气候建模和分析中心（CCCMa）、澳大利亚联邦科学和工业研究组织（CSIRO）、英国气象局哈德莱中心（Hadley Centre）、东京大学大气和海洋研究学院（CCSR）、德国气候计算中心（DKRZ）、德国马克斯·普朗克气象研究所（MPI-M）等。