NOAA Modeling Strategy : strategic plan 2024-2033

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Modeling Strategy aligns, unifies, simplifies, focuses and leverages NOAA’s full Earth System Modeling (ESM) portfolio of research, operations, and applications to support every NOAA mission area. NOAA’s mission areas require a highly complex and integrated modeling infrastructure, where environmental (physical), biogeochemical, ecosystem, space, and human modeling components are foundational. The term “Modeling” is used here for the foundational end-to-end modeling process starting from model initialization to simulations performed with numerical computer models to model testing, evaluation and improvements, as well as product generation and dissemination. Social science is also needed to appropriately refine requirements from stakeholders and to increasingly connect human decisions and activities into Earth System models. The motivation for developing this strategy is to leverage emerging technologies and unify modeling capabilities to increase collaboration, both within and beyond NOAA, to achieve the NOAA mission.