ARD-DeutschlandTrend 2023

Since 1997, the ARD-DeutschlandTREND has been conducted by Infratest dimap Gesellschaft für Trend- und Wahlforschung mbH on behalf of the Association of Public Broadcasting Corporations in the Federal Republic of Germany (ARD) and various print media. From 2021, the ARD-DeutschlandTREND will be surveyed on behalf of ARD-Tagesthemen and the daily newspaper DIE WELT. Up to and including February 2021, the monthly surveys were conducted in telephone interviews (CATI) with approx. 1000 respondents (for party preference approx. 1500) per wave. Starting in March 2021, both telephone interviews (CATI) and online interviews (CAWI) were conducted with approximately 1300 respondents per wave. The attitudes and assessments of the voting population regarding parties, politicians and current political issues were recorded. Respondents for the telephone interviews were selected using a multistage random sample from the ADM selection framework for telephone sampling, including landline and mobile phone numbers (dual-frame sampling). Respondents for the online interviews were selected using a stratified random sample from an online access panel. Some questions are repeated at each survey time and asked in an identical manner, while other topics are only surveyed in one or more survey months. The ARD-DeutschlandTREND is available as an annual cumulation for the years starting in 1998.<br>Party preference in the next Bundestag election (Sunday question); satisfaction with selected top politicians (Annalena Baerbock, Alice Weidel, Boris Pistorius, Christine Lambrecht, Christian Lindner, Dietmar Bartsch, Friedrich Merz, Janine Wissler, Karl Lauterbach, Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, Nancy Faeser, Olaf Scholz, Robert Habeck, Sahra Wagenknecht, Tino Chrupalla, Volker Wissing); party competence: Most competent party to solve selected political tasks (good asylum and refugee policy, good family policy and childcare, ensure social justice, good tax policy, good environmental policy, advance the economy in Germany); attitudes towards climate protection (too much fear is being stirred up in the debate on climate policy, we will not be able to stop climate change without restrictions in our lifestyle, industry is more responsible than individual consumers when it comes to climate protection); views on the conflict between Ukraine and Russia (in the long term, Ukraine should be admitted to the EU); comparison of the problem-solving skills of a CDU/CSU-led federal government with the current federal government; agreement with various statements on the AfD (I think it is good that the AfD wants to limit the influx of foreigners and refugees more than other parties, the AfD does not distance itself enough from right-wing extremist positions, the AfD does not solve any problems, but at least calls a spade a spade, the AfD has understood better than other parties that many people no longer feel safe in our country, there are too many right-wing extremists in the AfD); acceptance of reasons for flight (flight from war or civil war, persecution for political or religious reasons, no work and no livelihood in the home country, hunger or natural disasters in the home country); Assessment of the reception of refugees in Germany with regard to accommodation and distribution, integration of refugees into society, integration of refugees into the labor market and deportation of rejected asylum seekers; agreement with statements on the immigration of refugees (I am afraid that so many refugees are coming to us, political parties pay far too little attention to the problems caused by the immigration of refugees, it is good that private initiatives rescue refugees from distress at sea in the Mediterranean and bring them to European ports); opinion on the CDU´s fundamental incompatibility decision with the AfD and the Left; assessment of the current corona measures in Germany (appropriate, go too far, do not go far enough); satisfaction with democracy; democracy in general a good form of government; fair conditions in Germany; fair distribution of wealth in Germany; characteristics of Olaf Scholz (is up to the job of Chancellor, can lead the country well through a crisis, communicates convincingly, acts prudently); opinion on Germany´s acceptance of refugees (should accept more refugees, accept fewer or accept as many as at present); preference for national or European solutions in refugee policy; European solution for dealing with refugees feasible in the future; assessment of the Heating Act as a climate protection measure; assessment of the pace of change in climate protection in Germany; UN Climate Change Conference: Trust in international solutions to climate change, evaluation of various measures in immigration policy (introduction of an upper limit for the admission of refugees, classification of Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia as safe countries of origin in order to be able to reject people who have immigrated from there without justification more quickly, strengthening of border controls); advantages or disadvantages for Germany due to immigration; representation of interests of various social groups by politicians and parties (people with low incomes and refugees); concerns about the war in Ukraine (that Russia will attack other countries in Europe, that Germany could be directly involved in the war, trustworthy foreign policy partners of Germany (China, Russia, Ukraine, USA); assessment of various measures taken by Germany in response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine (support of Ukraine with weapons by Germany, sanctions against Russia, diplomatic efforts to end the war); extent of concerns about the war in Ukraine (about the people in Ukraine, that the economic situation in Germany is deteriorating, that there will be cuts in gas and energy supplies in Germany); opinion on the right way for the parties to deal with the AfD (seek cooperation with the AfD, decide on cooperation on a case-by-case basis, generally rule out cooperation); trust in institutions and organizations: Bundeswehr; rather confident or rather worried by the current circumstances in Germany; assessment of the economic situation in Germany currently and in a year´s time; assessment of the current personal economic situation; voter potential of the parties: Would or would not vote for this party (AfD, FDP, Greens, Left, SPD, CDU/CSU); most important political problems in Germany; most important and second most important political problem in Germany; agreement with statements about the CDU (With the CDU, people know exactly what it stands for); satisfaction with the work of the coalition partners FDP, Greens and SPD involved in the federal government; Satisfaction with the work of the federal government in various policy areas (securing the energy supply in Germany, relieving the burden on citizens due to rising prices, the federal government´s course in the Ukraine war), budget and financial policy, climate protection measures); satisfaction with the work of the federal government overall; personal expectations for 2023 (more of a good vs. bad year); expected end of the war in Ukraine in 2023; assessment of the German government´s relief measures regarding high energy prices and the cost of living (sufficient, go too far, do not go far enough); opinion on lifting the isolation requirement after a positive corona test; evaluation of measures to combat the shortage of skilled workers in Germany (raise the retirement age further, facilitate the immigration of foreign skilled workers to Germany, improve pay in sectors with a shortage of skilled workers); agreement with statements on the AfD (I think it is good that the AfD is represented in the Bundestag, the other parties represented in the Bundestag should rule out cooperation with the AfD, I think it is good that the AfD shows understanding for the Russian position in the Ukraine war); agreement with statements on the Ukraine conflict (In the long term, Ukraine should be included in NATO, the decision to supply German battle tanks to Ukraine was a mistake); trust in the Bundeswehr with regard to individual aspects (Bundeswehr could fend off a possible attack on NATO territory with its alliance partners, current equipment of the Bundeswehr is sufficient for its mission, appropriate action against right-wing extremist ideas in its ranks); India as a trustworthy foreign policy partner for Germany; conditions for ending the war in Ukraine (Ukraine must decide for itself when to enter into negotiations with Russia, it will be necessary for Ukraine to cede certain territories to Russia); party in Germany that is most likely to look after the interests of women; opinion on the discrimination of women compared to men in various areas (in terms of wages and salaries, appointments to management positions, childcare, care for relatives and old-age provision); most assertive party in the traffic light coalition; satisfaction with the work of the federal government in refugee and immigration policy and in transport policy; assessment of various climate protection measures in the transport sector (ban on new vehicles with combustion engines from 2035, increase in the HGV toll, faster expansion of the rail network, faster implementation of freeway projects already agreed); assessment of the change regarding the offsetting of individual areas with regard to CO2 emissions; German policy is basically doing enough to care for and accommodate refugees; EU states should use their own resources to rescue refugees in distress in the Mediterranean and bring them to European ports; opinion on asylum procedures at the EU´s external borders; AfD voters according to the Sunday poll: Reasons for voting AfD (convinced by the AfD or disappointed by the other parties); most important issues in the decision to currently vote for the AfD; satisfaction with Klara Geywitz´s political work; agreement with statements about the federal government and the cooperation between the three coalition parties (Olaf Scholz should set a clearer direction in the federal government, the three traffic light parties SPD, Greens and FDP are taking too long to find solutions to the problems at hand, all in all our country is in good hands with the current government); most convincing party in the discussion about switching to climate-friendly heating systems; informed about the federal government´s plans to switch to climate-friendly heating systems; agreement with various statements on the switch to climate-friendly heating systems (I think it is right that the government wants to ban climate-damaging heating systems in the foreseeable future, I am worried that the planned measures for climate-friendly heating will overburden me financially, in the dispute about climate-friendly heating systems, the parties in government and opposition are more concerned with their own impact than with finding a good solution); opinion on the delivery of German Eurofighter fighter planes to Ukraine; reasons for concern (open question, up to two topics); how close the preferred party according to the Sunday question is to the personal basic political ideas; the state should also restrict climate-damaging behavior with the help of bans; agreement with statements about the CDU (Friedrich Merz is a good CDU party chairman, Friedrich Merz would be a good Federal Chancellor, the CDU has a feeling for what moves people in Germany); opinion on cooperation with the AfD at local level (the other parties should reject AfD proposals in principle, should decide on approval on a case-by-case basis); representation of the interests of different social groups by politicians and parties (families, pensioners, younger people, people in the city, people in the countryside, entrepreneurs and the wealthy); interest in the Women´s World Cup in Australia; identification with the German women´s national soccer team and the men´s national soccer team; satisfaction with Lisa Paus´ political work; assessment of the plans for a state-subsidized industrial electricity price; evaluation of the plans to introduce basic child protection; evaluation of the stricter limitation of rent increases; evaluation of measures in immigration policy (conclusion of agreements with African countries to limit and better control immigration); election of a new party Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht under the leadership of Sahra Wagenknecht would or would not be considered in principle; reasons for the election of a new party under the leadership of Sahra Wagenknecht (person Sahra Wagenknecht, disappointment with other parties, migration policy, economic and social policy, climate policy, foreign policy, Ukraine policy, other reasons); assessment of Sahra Wagenknecht´s new party formation; spread of anti-Semitism in Germany; emotional impact of the newly inflamed Middle East conflict between Israel and the Palestinians; assessment of Israel´s military response to Hamas´ terrorist attacks (appropriate, goes too far, does not go far enough); Israeli military action is justified even if it affects the Palestinian civilian population; extent of concern about the Middle East conflict with regard to the Israeli civilian population, the Palestinian civilian population, the people taken hostage by the terrorist organization Hamas and that the conflict is spreading to neighbouring countries in the region; responsibility of the terrorist organization Hamas and Israel for the catastrophic situation of the civilian population in the Gaza Strip; preferred reaction to the decision of the Federal Constitutional Court on the debt brake (savings in expenditure, projects and investments, increase in taxes and levies, suspension of the debt brake by establishing a new emergency situation); preferred savings options in the federal budget (citizens´ income, conversion of the economy towards more climate friendliness, military aid for Ukraine, planned basic child protection); attitudes towards climate protection (we must forego economic growth in order to stop climate change, the ecological costs of products, goods and services should be included more in the price, for example in the form of a CO2 tax, Germany is already doing so much to combat climate change. Now other countries should do more).

Demography: sex; age; employment; highest level of education; net household income.

Additionally coded were: record or pagination number; wave identifier; region (east/west); federal state; official district code; weighting factor.