On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w32406
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资源简介:
Using data from a large survey of American households, we compare density forecasts elicited with bins- and scenarios-based questions. We show that inflation density forecasts are sensitive to the survey question designs used to elicit them. The within-person discrepancy is smaller, but still
提供机构:
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间:
2024-05-01



