On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations
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Using data from a large survey of American households, we compare density forecasts elicited with bins- and scenarios-based questions. We show that inflation density forecasts are sensitive to the survey question designs used to elicit them. The within-person discrepancy is smaller, but still
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
2024-05-01
