Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
收藏NBER2006-01-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w11978
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资源简介：
We use data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters to compare point forecasts of GDP growth and inflation with the subjective probability distributions held by forecasters. We find that SPF forecasters summarize their underlying distributions in different ways and that their summaries tend to
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2006-01-01
