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Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI

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NBER2026-04-01 更新2026-04-18 收录
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We elicit forecasts of how AI will affect the U.S. economy, comparing the beliefs of five groups: academic economists, employees at AI companies, policy researchers focused on AI, highly accurate forecasters, and the general public. The median respondent in each group expects substantial advances in

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2026-04-01
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