Projecting the Number of New AIDS Cases in the U.S.
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This paper reviews the two leading methods used to project the number of AIDS cases: back calculation and extrapolation. These methods are assessed in light of key features of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and of data on the epidemic; they are also assessed in terms of the quality of the projections they
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
1992-10-01
