FUTURE CLIMATE RESILIENCE STRATEGY FOR IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE IN AMU DARYA RIVER BASIN OF UZBEKISTAN AMID THE QOSH TEPA CANAL PROJECT IN AFGHANISTAN.

Uzbekistan’s irrigated agriculture faces growing risks from climate change and Afghanistan’s Qosh Tepa Canal, potentially reducing Amu Darya water flow by 30% by 2050. This paper assesses the economic and social impacts of reduced water supply, including significant losses in agricultural output and employment. While national strategies address efficiency, they lack a long-term climate-resilience framework. The study proposes five key measures, including infrastructure upgrades, regional cooperation, and economic diversification, to enhance water security and align with climate commitments.