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Forecasting Stock Market Returns: The Sum of the Parts is More than the Whole

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NBER2008-12-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w14571
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We propose forecasting separately the three components of stock market returns: dividend yield, earnings growth, and price-earnings ratio growth. We obtain out-of-sample R-square coefficients (relative to the historical mean) of nearly 1.6% with monthly data and 16.7% with yearly data using the most
提供机构:
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间:
2008-12-01
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