Average CRPS values computed based on the discrepancy between the posterior predictive values corresponding to several model inference settings and the case-counts recorded up to Sept. 15, 2020. The best forecasts arise when parameters are estimated for each county independently (last column), but the 3-county joint inversion is close behind (second column).
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https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Average_CRPS_values_computed_based_on_the_discrepancy_between_the_posterior_predictive_values_corresponding_to_several_model_inference_settings_and_the_case-counts_recorded_up_to_Sept_15_2020_The_best_forecasts_arise_when_parameters_are_est/29731629
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Average CRPS values computed based on the discrepancy between the posterior predictive values corresponding to several model inference settings and the case-counts recorded up to Sept. 15, 2020. The best forecasts arise when parameters are estimated for each county independently (last column), but the 3-county joint inversion is close behind (second column).
创建时间：
2025-07-31
