navigating uncertainty: managing herbivore communities enhances savanna ecosystem resilience under climate change

Savannas are characterized by water scarcity and degradation, making them highly vulnerable to increased uncertainties in water availability resulting from climate change. This poses a significant threat to ecosystem services and rural livelihoods that depend on them. In addition, the lack of consensus among climate models on precipitation change makes it difficult for land managers to plan for the future. Therefore, savanna rangeland management needs to develop strategies that can sustain savanna resilience and avoid tipping points under an uncertain future climate. Our study aims to analyze the impacts of climate change and rangeland management on degradation in savanna ecosystems of southern Africa, providing insights for the management of semi-arid savannas under uncertain conditions worldwide. To achieve this, we simulated the effects of projected changes in temperature and precipitation, as predicted by ten global climate models, on water resources and vegetation (cover, functiona..., , , # Navigating Uncertainty: Managing Herbivore Communities Enhances Savanna Ecosystem Resilience under Climate Change

In this paper, we employed an ecohydrological modeling approach to assess how diverse climate change projections and various rangeland management strategies influence the resilience of savanna ecosystems.

# Content description and contact information

This repository contains all R-scripts and respective model output data required to reproduce the methods, results and figures of the manuscript *Navigating Uncertainty: Managing Herbivore Communities Enhances Savanna Ecosystem Resilience under Climate Change* by Katja Irob, Niels Blaum and Britta Tietjen.
For enhanced compatibility and to facilitate result and figure reproduction, we recommend utilising the R-project file labeled *Climate_resilience.Rproj* and the Rmarkdown script titled *Jappl_Navigating_Uncertainty.Rmd*. Rmarkdown scripts should be used to reproduce all figures and statistical procedures, along with t...