PIMA Adapta. Risks - Homes affected by potential floods in the Valencian Community

Spatial distribution of annual effective damage to real estate properties for different scenarios. The results are presented: undiscounted, to characterize the severity of a scenario, and discounted, to evaluate the relative importance of the scenarios in different year horizons. The possible damages to the real estate capital expressed as a percentage of the stock of real estate capital affected by floods in each municipality are shown in the event of not using adaptation measures to climate change with respect to the total stock of real estate capital of the municipality: - Flood Scenario 1 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years in the current climate). - Flood Scenario 2 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years in the current climate). - Flood Scenario 3 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized in the middle of the century (2050 horizon)). - Flood Scenario 4 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized in the middle of the century (2050 horizon)). - Flood scenario 5 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). - Flood Scenario 6 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). - Flood scenario 7 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP8.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). - Flood scenario 8 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP8.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). And - Spatial distribution of discounted annual effective damage on real estate properties, discounted, for flood scenario 3 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized at mid-century (2050 horizon)). - Spatial distribution of the discounted annual effective damage on real estate properties, discounted, for flood scenario 4 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized at mid-century (2050 horizon)). - Spatial distribution of discounted annual effective damage on real estate properties, discounted, for flood scenario 5 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). - Spatial distribution of discounted annual effective damage on real estate properties, discounted, for flood scenario 6 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP4.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). - Spatial distribution of the discounted annual effective damage on real estate properties, discounted, for flood scenario 7 (Maximum flood event T = 100 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP8.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). - Spatial distribution of discounted annual effective damage on real estate properties, discounted, for flood scenario 8 (Maximum flood event T = 500 years + increase in the MSL corresponding to RCP8.5. Regionalized at the end of the century (horizon 2100)). The discount rates used correspond to 2% in the medium term (2050) and 1% in the long term (2100).不同情景下房地产年度有效损失的空间分布。 本研究结果包含两类呈现形式：未贴现结果，用于表征单一情景的灾害严重程度；贴现结果，用于评估不同时间尺度下各情景的相对影响权重。 在未采取气候变化适应措施的情境下，以各行政辖区内受洪涝影响的房地产资产存量占辖区房地产总资本存量的百分比形式，展示了潜在的房地产资产损失情况： - 洪涝情景1：当前气候下重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件。 - 洪涝情景2：当前气候下重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件。 - 洪涝情景3：重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（Mean Sea Level, MSL）上升，于本世纪中期（2050年时间节点）进行区域化预估。 - 洪涝情景4：重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪中期（2050年时间节点）进行区域化预估。 - 洪涝情景5：重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估。 - 洪涝情景6：重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估。 - 洪涝情景7：重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）8.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估。 - 洪涝情景8：重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）8.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估。 此外还包含以下贴现后的空间分布结果： - 洪涝情景3的房地产年度有效损失贴现空间分布（情景详情：重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪中期（2050年时间节点）进行区域化预估）。 - 洪涝情景4的房地产年度有效损失贴现空间分布（情景详情：重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪中期（2050年时间节点）进行区域化预估）。 - 洪涝情景5的房地产年度有效损失贴现空间分布（情景详情：重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估）。 - 洪涝情景6的房地产年度有效损失贴现空间分布（情景详情：重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）4.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估）。 - 洪涝情景7的房地产年度有效损失贴现空间分布（情景详情：重现期T=100年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）8.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估）。 - 洪涝情景8的房地产年度有效损失贴现空间分布（情景详情：重现期T=500年的极端洪涝事件+典型浓度路径（RCP）8.5情境下的平均海平面（MSL）上升，于本世纪末（2100年时间节点）进行区域化预估）。 本次研究所使用的贴现率为：中期（2050年）采用2%，长期（2100年）采用1%。