The Persistence of Miscalibration
收藏NBER2020-11-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w28010
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资源简介：
Using 14,800 forecasts of one-year S&P 500 returns made by Chief Financial Officers over a 12-year period, we track the individual executives who provide multiple forecasts to study how their beliefs evolve dynamically. While CFOs return forecasts are systematically unbiased, their confidence
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2020-11-01
