Analytical Futurology as a Tool for Strategic Planning in Social War Games

Futurology (also futures studies) is a field of knowledge which has emerged as a result of the interdisciplinary
problematisation of specific cognitive issues. The main objective of futurology
is the creation of hypothetical scenarios for an alternative future in every aspect of human life,
from changes relating to the life of an individual human being to changes within complex
social structures, and, ultimately, in e.g. nations. The assumptions of cognitive futurology generally
boil down to the maxim „probability and predictability in every aspect of human life”.
In other words, the subject of futurological considerations encompasses all products of human
activity, both material and abstract. However, here futurology is divided thematically and
distinguished in accord with a given specific specialised task, e.g. within the framework of social
anthropology (or, broadly understood, cultural studies) as well as of philosophy. Thus, one
can point to popular futurology, or the popularisation of specific fields of knowledge through
science-fiction literature, e.g. The Road (2006) by Cormac McCarthy. In addition to popular
futurology, there is also analytical futurology, whose task is to create and analyse alternative
futures. The proposed presentation will be devoted to this latter issue as well.