Analysis of geo-spatiotemporal data using machine learning algorithms and reliability enhancement for urbanization decision support

We present systematic analyses of the temporal dynamics of the growth of Kumasi, the fastest growing city in Ghana using 20-year Landsat time-series data from 2000 to 2020 (with 1986 Landsat image as a baseline). Two classification algorithms – random forest (RF) and support vector machines (SVM) – were used to produce binary (built-up / non-built up) maps for all years within the temporal span. We further implemented an anomaly detection and temporal consistency algorithm followed by a changing logic to correct the classification anomalies due to image contamination from the cloud and other sources. The mean overall accuracies obtained for RF and SVM were 94.9% (kappa = 0.90) and 95.5% (kappa = 0.91), respectively. Our results reveal that the mean built-up area percentages of the metropolis are approximately 74, 65, 47, and 23 for the years 2020, 2010, 2000, and 1986, respectively, representing a mean annual change of 3.5% over the 34 years. With the present lack of labeled data in Ghana for in-depth analyses of the evolution of land use, we believe that this study serves as an initial attempt to a better understanding of the effects of increasing anthropogenic activities due to urbanization, on human and environment health.