VALU 2010 - SVT exit poll survey parliamentary election 2010

This exit poll survey (VALU, an abbreviation for vallokalsundersökning) was carried out in connection with the parliamentary election on September 19, 2010. In VALU voters leaving polling stations are asked by public service broadcaster Sveriges Television (SVT) to fill in a questionnaire and put it anonymously in a sealed box. After collecting and processing the responses, Sveriges Television is able to present an election forecast and an analysis of the reasons underlying the outcome of the election in its Election Night broadcast. The first exit poll survey in Sweden was carried out at the parliamentary election in 1991. Since then similar studies have been carried out in connection with all Parliamentary elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament. Voters leaving the polling stations were asked to fill in a questionnaire including questions on: party voted for in the general and local elections; time for decision how to vote; own political opinion in agreement with the opinion of political party voted for; preferred formation of the government after the election; party voted for in the general election 2006; opinion on the Swedish EU membership; placement on a political left-right scale; confidence in Swedish politicians; gender, age, occupational group, union membership and church attendance. The respondents also had to indicate how important a number of items were for the decision how to vote, as well as the importance of the party leader. In VALU, Sweden (constituencies) is divided into geographical regions grouped around major university cities. In each of the regions, a university teacher is engaged as regional survey leader. The survey leaders act as supervisors for the field agents who carry out the survey in the polling stations and early voting stations respectively. All survey leaders have knowledge of statistical methodology. Purpose: Provide analytical support for the election night broadcast on Swedish television during the election night, and for other post-election analysis.本次出口民调（exit poll）调查（VALU为vallokalsundersökning的缩写）于2010年9月19日瑞典议会选举期间开展。 在VALU调查中，瑞典公共电视台（Sveriges Television，简称SVT）会邀请离开投票站的选民填写问卷，并将问卷匿名投入密封回收箱中。在收集并处理问卷数据后，瑞典公共电视台可在其选举夜直播中发布选举预测，并对选举结果的成因展开分析。瑞典首次出口民调于1991年议会选举期间开展，自此之后，所有议会选举、全民公投以及欧洲议会选举均配套开展了同类调查。 本次调查要求离开投票站的选民填写问卷，问卷涵盖以下问题：大选与地方选举中的投票党派、投票决策耗时、自身政治立场与所投党派立场的契合度、选举后期望组建的政府格局、2006年大选的投票党派、对瑞典欧盟成员国身份的看法、政治立场左右翼定位、对瑞典政客的信任度、性别、年龄、职业群体、工会会员身份以及教堂礼拜参与情况。受访者还需说明多项因素对其投票决策的重要程度，以及各政党党首的影响力权重。 在VALU调查中，瑞典（选区）被划分为以主要大学城为核心的地理区域。每个区域都会聘请一名高校教师担任区域调查负责人，该负责人负责监督分别在投票站与提前投票站开展调查的外勤人员。所有区域调查负责人均需具备统计方法论相关知识。 调查目的：为瑞典电视台的选举夜直播以及其他选举后分析工作提供分析支撑。