Data produced for "Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from climate change in the United States by half"

This data archive includes all of the results from the models used to<br> produce the paper "Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from<br> climate change in the United States by half". It contains three main<br> archives: 1. inputs: The temperature and water stress indicators for each crop,<br> along with county-level log-yields. Both the Bayesian and OLS<br> models are fit to this data. Static covariates are available in<br> us-bioclims-new.csv.<br> <br> Files:<br> <br> data-inputs-futureedds1.zip - data-inputs-futureedds3.zip:<br> GCM-specific quantifications of the exceedance degree days used as<br> temperature predictors.<br> <br> data-inputs-other.zip: All other input files. 2. bayes: Each of the variables fit in the Bayesian model, for each<br> MCMC draw from the posterior distribution. The contained directory<br> includes for each crop versions with constant variance (-variance)<br> and under cross-validation (-cv). The counties are ordered<br> according to fips-usa.csv. Files: data-bayes-checks: Posterior predictive check outputs. data-bayes-full-constvar-*.zip: MCMC draws for the all-years fit<br> assuming constant variance. Divided to make the files more<br> manageable.<br> <br> data-bayes-full-varvar.zip: MCMC draws for the all-years fit<br> assuming county-specific variances. data-bayes-cv-constvar.zip: MCMC draws for the cross-validation fit<br> assuming constant variance. data-bayes-cv-varvar-*.zip: MCMC draws for the cross-validation fit<br> assuming county-specific variances. Divided to make the files more<br> manageable. 3. optim: Optimization model results. The results/ directory contains<br> the optimization results for each set of assumptions presented in<br> the appendix, applied to the average yield levels. The results-mc/<br> directory contains profit, yield, and optimization results for each<br> draw of the MCMC independently. Files:<br> <br> data-optim-inputs-mc.zip: Locally optimal cropping files, under<br> MCMC draws of the model.<br> <br> data-optim-results-mc.zip: Constrainted optimization model results,<br> under MCMC draws of the model.<br> <br> data-optim-results.zip: Constrained optimization model results,<br> using the average parameters of the model.<br> <br> data-optim-other.zip: Other outputs of the optimization process.<br>