MOESM2 of Census-derived migration data as a tool for informing malaria elimination policy

Additional file 2. Predicted movement throughout Mesoamerica. This is the output from the fitted model for Mesoamerica. The “uidto” and “uidfr” variables match with the “uid” variable in Additional file 3. The lat/lon fr/to variables represent centroids of the origin and destination administrative units, while POPI/POPJ refer to total population in the administrative unit in 2010. URBANPROPI/J refer to the proportion of the population in urbanized areas per administrative unit. “CONTIJ” refers to whether the units are contiguous, and “DISTIJ” refers to the distance in kilometres between administrative unit centroids. “predprop” is the proportion of people expected to move from i to j, “predpropnum” is this proportion multiplied by POPI, while “adjprednum” is this number adjusted using Abel and Sander [15]. Finally, “adjpredprop” is this adjusted flow converted back to a proportion (calculated by dividing “adjprednum” by population in i), and “infmove” is the adjusted flow multiplied by incidence in i (“incidfr”).