Population in the future / district level (results of the medium variant) - Total population, change compared to 2020 in %
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Thematic maps of the population. Share of population by age group in the total population in 2020, 2040, 2070. % change in population by age group in 2020 compared to 2040 and 2070. Youth and old-age dependency ratios 2020, 2040 and 2070. The youth quotient indicates the number of persons under the age of 20 per 100 persons between the ages of 20 and 65, the old-age quotient indicates the number of persons aged 65 and older per 100 persons between the ages of 20 and 65. The data come from the sixth regionalized population projection (medium variant). This projection is based on the results of the population update as at 31. December 2020. The birth rate will rise from 1.57 today to 1.6 children per woman by 2025. It will remain constant until 2070. Life expectancy will increase from 83 to 85 years for women today and from 79 to 82 years for men by 2040. By 2070, a further increase is assumed for women to 87 years and for men to 85 years. The projection assumes that the net migration will increase from 17,300 to +20,000 persons per year by 2025. It will remain at this level until 2030. The balance will then fall to +15,000 persons by 2040. This corresponds roughly to the long-term net migration recorded by Rhineland-Palatinate on average per year between 1951 and 2020. From 2040 onwards, the balance will remain constant until the end of the forecasting period. :Population Total, % change compared to 2020.
人口专题地图(Thematic maps):涵盖2020年、2040年、2070年各年龄组人口占总人口的比例,以及各年龄组人口在2040年、2070年相较于2020年的变化百分比。包含2020年、2040年、2070年的青年与老年抚养比相关指标,其中青年抚养系数(Youth quotient)指每100名20至65岁劳动年龄人口对应的20岁以下人口数,老年抚养系数(Old-age quotient)指每100名20至65岁劳动年龄人口对应的65岁及以上人口数。本数据集源自第六次区域化人口预测(中等变动方案),该预测以2020年12月31日的人口更新结果为基准。预测假设如下:总和生育率将从当前的1.57提升至2025年的1.6,此后维持该水平直至2070年;预期寿命方面,到2040年女性预期寿命将从当前83岁提升至85岁,男性将从当前79岁提升至82岁,至2070年女性预期寿命将进一步增至87岁,男性将增至85岁;年度净移民人数将从17300人增至2025年的20000人,并维持该水平至2030年,随后到2040年回落至15000人,该数值大致相当于1951年至2020年间莱茵兰-普法尔茨州的年均长期净移民规模,2040年起净移民规模将维持不变直至预测周期结束。此外还包含总人口相较于2020年的变化百分比。



