Austin MSA Displacement Risk Areas 2020

To determine displacement risk, researchers at the University of Texas conducted a three-part analysis: the presence of vulnerable populations, residential market appreciation, and demographic change. To determine vulnerable populations, the authors used indicators to identify residents who, according to academic research, are least able to absorb housing costs, which includes: communities of color, low-income households, heads of households without a bachelor's degree or higher, families with children in poverty, and renters.

In 2019 and 2020, the City of Austin Housing and Planning staff updated the data and simplified the categories below.

Vulnerable: Vulnerable populations present, no significant demographic change, some tracts are near or contain high-value and high-appreciation areas.
Active Displacement Risk: Vulnerable populations present, active demographic change, accelerating or appreciating housing market.
Chronic Displacement Risk: Vulnerable populations have been displaced, demographic change has occurred and the housing market is high value and appreciated or appreciating.
Historic Displacement: Tracts previously identified as at-risk to displacement in earlier Uprooted models (2016, 2019)

为确定搬迁风险，德克萨斯大学的研究人员进行了三项分析：易受伤害人群的存在、住宅市场的增值以及人口结构的变化。为了确定易受伤害人群，作者们使用了指标来识别那些根据学术研究，最无法承担住房成本的居民，包括：有色人种社区、低收入家庭、无学士学位或更高学位的家庭户主、生活在贫困中的儿童家庭和租房者。

在2019年和2020年，奥斯汀市住房和规划工作人员更新了数据，并简化了以下类别。

易受伤害：存在易受伤害人群，无显著的人口结构变化，一些区域靠近或包含高价值和增值区域。
活跃搬迁风险：存在易受伤害人群，人口结构发生变化，住房市场加速或增值。
慢性搬迁风险：易受伤害人群已被搬迁，人口结构发生变化，住房市场价值高且增值或正在增值。
历史搬迁：在早期（2016年、2019年）的“连根拔起”模型中被认定为搬迁风险的区域。