Portugal ‑ Assessing the Risks Around the Speed of Fiscal Consolidation in an Uncertain Environment

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development2026-04-11 收录

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This paper illustrates possible trade-offs between two different fiscal consolidation strategies in Portugal: sticking to the nominal fiscal targets in the EU-IMF programme or allowing automatic stabilisers to work, while sticking to the structural primary deficit targets implied by the programme. The analysis is based on stochastic simulations in...