Estimated relative risk distribution of (A) rotavirus diarrhea incidence and mortality, (B) measles incidence and mortality, (C) pneumonia (pneumococcal and Hib) incidence and mortality, and (D) HPV incidence across three scenarios by wealth quintile and geographic region.

The three scenarios include the distribution of risk and prognostic factors. The “counterfactual” scenario presents a scenario without vaccination or treatment-seeking behavior, the baseline scenario presents a scenario with current vaccination coverage and treatment-seeking behavior, and the maximized vaccination coverage scenario presents a scenario in which vaccination coverage in all population subgroups is increased to the level of vaccination coverage of the subgroup with the greatest vaccination coverage (e.g., all quintiles are modeled as having the same level of vaccination coverage as the richest quintile).