Characteristics (median, IQ range) of 1000 simulated outbreaks (based on a SIR model with R₀ of 5 and daily mortality rate of 0.03).

† The spread of the outbreak was simulated during a maximum of 12 weeks or until it reached ≥15,000 deaths. * Proportion of simulated deaths, infected herds and hexagons were respectively calculated using the total number of deaths (real+simulated) that occurred during the course of the outbreak, and the total number of herds and hexagons under surveillance over this period. Characteristics (median, IQ range) of 1000 simulated outbreaks (based on a SIR model with R0 of 5 and daily mortality rate of 0.03).