Toward a mechanistic understanding of human-induced rapid environmental change: a case study linking energy development, nest predation, and predators

1. Demographic consequences of human-induced rapid environmental change (HIREC) have been widely documented for many populations. The mechanisms underlying such patterns, however, are rarely investigated and yet are critical to understand for effective conservation and management. 2. We investigated the mechanisms underlying reduced avian nest survival with intensification of natural gas development, an increasing source of HIREC globally. We tested the hypothesis that energy development increased the local activity of important nest predator species thereby elevating nest predation rates. During 2011–2012, we surveyed predators and monitored 668 nests of Brewer's sparrows Spizella breweri, sagebrush sparrows Artemisiospiza nevadensis and sage thrashers Oreoscoptes montanus breeding at twelve sites spanning a gradient of habitat loss from energy development in western Wyoming, USA. 3. Nine species, representing four mammalian and three avian families, were video-recorded depredating egg...