Continuous models explaining flowering intensity of Jacaranda trees based on a beta distribution in Melbourne, Perth, Sydney, Parramatta and Penrith between 2009–2019.

The number of asterisks indicate model fit (*Low fit, **Moderate fit, ***Good fit). Bold letters outline the best models which had the best distribution fit, the least number of covariates, and the lowest Akaike International Criterion (AIC) and both global and Partial deviance (G.Dev and P.Dev, respectively). The explanatory variables include Mean Minimum Temperature (MMinTemp), Mean Maximum Temperature (MMaxTemp), Highest Temperature (HTemp), Mean Temperature (MTemp), Rainfall (Rain) and Sun Exposure (SunExp) recorded per month at each weather station, as well as the monthly Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). The number after the variable refers to number of months prior (lag) the variable was associated to Jacaranda flowering, and cs indicates smooth variables.