Performance of the Back-calculation Method to Fit the Expected Outbreak Size.
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RMSE1 = Relative root mean square error (see definition in Text S1). *The coverage is defined as the probability that the real value falls in the (2.5th, 97.5th) percentiles interval of the posterior distribution. **Range of the absolute relative error (%). ‡See Table 2 and Methods for description of scenarios A to E.
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2009-04-10



