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Thin-Slice Forecasts of Gubernatorial Elections

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NBER2006-11-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w12660
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We showed 10-second, silent video clips of unfamiliar gubernatorial debates to a group of experimental participants and asked them to predict the election outcomes. The participants' predictions explain more than 20 percent of the variation in the actual two-party vote share across the 58 elections
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2006-11-01
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