U.S. Sahm rule recession indicator 2022-2024

In October 2024, the Sahm recession indicator was 0.43, a slight decrease from the previous month. The Sahm Rule was developed to flag the onset of an economic recession more quickly than other indicators. The Sahm Rule signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by 0.50 percentage points or more relative to its low during the previous 12 months.

于2024年10月，Sahm 经济衰退指标为0.43，相较于上个月略有下降。Sahm 规则旨在比其他指标更迅速地标记经济衰退的初期。当国家失业率的三个月移动平均值相较于前12个月中的最低点上升0.50个百分点或更多时，Sahm 规则预示着衰退的开始。