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Good Growth Plan 2014-2019 - Hungary

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Abstract --------------------------- Syngenta is committed to increasing crop productivity and to using limited resources such as land, water and inputs more efficiently. Since 2014, Syngenta has been measuring trends in agricultural input efficiency on a global network of real farms. The Good Growth Plan dataset shows aggregated productivity and resource efficiency indicators by harvest year. The data has been collected from more than 4,000 farms and covers more than 20 different crops in 46 countries. The data (except USA data and for Barley in UK, Germany, Poland, Czech Republic, France and Spain) was collected, consolidated and reported by Kynetec (previously Market Probe), an independent market research agency. It can be used as benchmarks for crop yield and input efficiency. Geographic coverage --------------------------- National coverage Analysis unit --------------------------- Agricultural holdings Kind of data --------------------------- Sample survey data [ssd] Sampling procedure --------------------------- A. Sample design Farms are grouped in clusters, which represent a crop grown in an area with homogenous agro- ecological conditions and include comparable types of farms. The sample includes reference and benchmark farms. The reference farms were selected by Syngenta and the benchmark farms were randomly selected by Kynetec within the same cluster. B. Sample size Sample sizes for each cluster are determined with the aim to measure statistically significant increases in crop efficiency over time. This is done by Kynetec based on target productivity increases and assumptions regarding the variability of farm metrics in each cluster. The smaller the expected increase, the larger the sample size needed to measure significant differences over time. Variability within clusters is assumed based on public research and expert opinion. In addition, growers are also grouped in clusters as a means of keeping variances under control, as well as distinguishing between growers in terms of crop size, region and technological level. A minimum sample size of 20 interviews per cluster is needed. The minimum number of reference farms is 5 of 20. The optimal number of reference farms is 10 of 20 (balanced sample). C. Selection procedure The respondents were picked randomly using a “quota based random sampling” procedure. Growers were first randomly selected and then checked if they complied with the quotas for crops, region, farm size etc. To avoid clustering high number of interviews at one sampling point, interviewers were instructed to do a maximum of 5 interviews in one village. BF Screened from Hungary were selected based on the following criterion: - At least three of the four target crops should be cultivated in rotation on the same field. - Counties: Fejér, Somogy, Tolna, Komárom (+ added county in 2014: Bács) - Reference farms profile: > Current practice: Predominantly convential tillage > Machinery: most have a quite complete machinery set-up including chisels - Benchmark farms profile: > cannot be Contivo growers > pure ploughing equipment. (don't need to use chisels) > benchmark growers that are already using a substantial amount of conservation tillage were not selected Mode of data collection --------------------------- Face-to-face [f2f] Research instrument --------------------------- Data collection tool for 2019 covered the following information: (A) PRE- HARVEST INFORMATION PART I: Screening PART II: Contact Information PART III: Farm Characteristics a. Biodiversity conservation b. Soil conservation c. Soil erosion d. Description of growing area e. Training on crop cultivation and safety measures PART IV: Farming Practices - Before Harvest a. Planting and fruit development - Field crops b. Planting and fruit development - Tree crops c. Planting and fruit development - Sugarcane d. Planting and fruit development - Cauliflower e. Seed treatment (B) HARVEST INFORMATION PART V: Farming Practices - After Harvest a. Fertilizer usage b. Crop protection products c. Harvest timing & quality per crop - Field crops d. Harvest timing & quality per crop - Tree crops e. Harvest timing & quality per crop - Sugarcane f. Harvest timing & quality per crop - Banana g. After harvest PART VI - Other inputs - After Harvest a. Input costs b. Abiotic stress c. Irrigation See all questionnaires in external materials tab Cleaning operations --------------------------- Data processing: Kynetec uses SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) for data entry, cleaning, analysis, and reporting. After collection, the farm data is entered into a local database, reviewed, and quality-checked by the local Kynetec agency. In the case of missing values or inconsistencies, farmers are re-contacted. In some cases, grower data is verified with local experts (e.g. retailers) to ensure data accuracy and validity. After country-level cleaning, the farm-level data is submitted to the global Kynetec headquarters for processing. In the case of missing values or inconsistences, the local Kynetec office was re-contacted to clarify and solve issues. Quality assurance Various consistency checks and internal controls are implemented throughout the entire data collection and reporting process in order to ensure unbiased, high quality data. • Screening: Each grower is screened and selected by Kynetec based on cluster-specific criteria to ensure a comparable group of growers within each cluster. This helps keeping variability low. • Evaluation of the questionnaire: The questionnaire aligns with the global objective of the project and is adapted to the local context (e.g. interviewers and growers should understand what is asked). Each year the questionnaire is evaluated based on several criteria, and updated where needed. • Briefing of interviewers: Each year, local interviewers - familiar with the local context of farming -are thoroughly briefed to fully comprehend the questionnaire to obtain unbiased, accurate answers from respondents. • Cross-validation of the answers: o Kynetec captures all growers' responses through a digital data-entry tool. Various logical and consistency checks are automated in this tool (e.g. total crop size in hectares cannot be larger than farm size) o Kynetec cross validates the answers of the growers in three different ways: 1. Within the grower (check if growers respond consistently during the interview) 2. Across years (check if growers respond consistently throughout the years) 3. Within cluster (compare a grower's responses with those of others in the group) o All the above mentioned inconsistencies are followed up by contacting the growers and asking them to verify their answers. The data is updated after verification. All updates are tracked. • Check and discuss evolutions and patterns: Global evolutions are calculated, discussed and reviewed on a monthly basis jointly by Kynetec and Syngenta. • Sensitivity analysis: sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the global results in terms of outliers, retention rates and overall statistical robustness. The results of the sensitivity analysis are discussed jointly by Kynetec and Syngenta. • It is recommended that users interested in using the administrative level 1 variable in the location dataset use this variable with care and crosscheck it with the postal code variable. Data appraisal --------------------------- Due to the above mentioned checks, irregularities in fertilizer usage data were discovered which had to be corrected: For data collection wave 2014, respondents were asked to give a total estimate of the fertilizer NPK-rates that were applied in the fields. From 2015 onwards, the questionnaire was redesigned to be more precise and obtain data by individual fertilizer products. The new method of measuring fertilizer inputs leads to more accurate results, but also makes a year-on-year comparison difficult. After evaluating several solutions to this problems, 2014 fertilizer usage (NPK input) was re-estimated by calculating a weighted average of fertilizer usage in the following years.

摘要 --------------------------- 先正达致力于提升作物产量,并更有效地利用有限的资源,如土地、水和投入品。自2014年起,先正达在全球真实农场上建立一个全球网络,测量农业投入效率的趋势。良好增长计划数据集展示了按收获年汇总的生产力和资源效率指标。数据来自超过4,000个农场,涵盖46个国家中超过20种不同的作物。数据(除美国数据以及英国、德国、波兰、捷克共和国、法国和西班牙的 barley 数据外)由独立的市场研究机构Kynetec(前身为Market Probe)收集、整合和报告。这些数据可用作作物产量和投入效率的基准。 地理覆盖范围 --------------------------- 全国覆盖范围 分析单元 --------------------------- 农业经营 数据类型 --------------------------- 样本调查数据 [ssd] 抽样程序 --------------------------- A. 样本设计 农场被分组为簇,这些簇代表了在具有同质农业生态条件的地区种植的作物,并包括可比类型的农场。样本包括参考农场和基准农场。参考农场由先正达选定,而基准农场由Kynetec在同一个簇内随机选定。 B. 样本量 每个簇的样本量是根据衡量作物效率随时间统计显著增加的目标来确定的。这是基于Kynetec对目标生产率增加和每个簇内农场指标的变异性假设而进行的。预期增加越小,所需的样本量越大,以测量随时间显著的变化。簇内的变异性基于公共研究和专家意见假设。 C. 选择程序 受访者通过“配额随机抽样”程序随机选定。首先随机选定种植者,然后检查他们是否符合作物、地区、农场规模等配额。为了避免在单个抽样点集中大量访谈,访谈员被指示在一个村庄内最多进行5次访谈。 BF从匈牙利筛选出的样本基于以下标准: - 至少三种目标作物应在同一地块上轮作种植。 - 县份:费赫瓦尔,索莫吉,托尔纳,科莫恩(+ 2014年增加的县:巴奇) - 参考农场概况: > 当前的实践:以传统耕作为主 > 机械设备:大多数拥有相当完整的机械设备,包括锄头 - 基准农场概况: > 不能是Contivo种植者 > 纯耕作设备。(无需使用锄头) > 已使用大量保护性耕作的基准种植者未被选定。 数据收集方式 --------------------------- 面对面 [f2f] 研究工具 --------------------------- 2019年的数据收集工具涵盖了以下信息: (A)收获前信息 第一部分:筛选 第二部分:联系信息 第三部分:农场特征 a. 生物多样性保护 b. 土壤保护 c. 土壤侵蚀 d. 种植区域描述 e. 作物种植和安全性培训 第四部分:收获前的耕作实践 a. 种植和果实发育 - 田地作物 b. 种植和果实发育 - 树木作物 c. 种植和果实发育 - 甘蔗 d. 种植和果实发育 - 花菜 e. 种子处理 (B)收获信息 第五部分:收获后的耕作实践 a. 肥料使用 b. 作物保护产品 c. 每种作物的收获时间和质量 - 田地作物 d. 每种作物的收获时间和质量 - 树木作物 e. 每种作物的收获时间和质量 - 甘蔗 f. 每种作物的收获时间和质量 - 香蕉 g. 收获后 第六部分 - 收获后的其他投入 a. 投入成本 b. 非生物胁迫 c. 灌溉 所有问卷请参阅外部材料标签 数据清理操作 --------------------------- 数据处理: Kynetec使用SPSS(社会科学统计软件包)进行数据录入、清理、分析和报告。收集后,农场数据被输入到本地数据库中,由本地Kynetec机构进行审查和质控。在缺失值或不一致的情况下,会重新联系农民。在某些情况下,种植者数据会与当地专家(例如零售商)进行核实,以确保数据的准确性和有效性。在国家层面的清理后,农场级数据提交给全球Kynetec总部进行处理。在缺失值或不一致的情况下,本地Kynetec办公室会重新联系以澄清和解决问题。 质量保证 在整个数据收集和报告过程中,实施各种一致性检查和内部控制,以确保数据无偏差、高质量。 • 筛选:每个种植者根据簇特定标准由Kynetec筛选和选定,以确保每个簇内种植者群体的可比性。这有助于保持变异性低。 • 问卷评估:问卷与项目的全球目标保持一致,并根据当地情况进行调整(例如,访谈员和种植者应理解所问内容)。每年根据几个标准评估问卷,并在必要时进行更新。 • 访谈员简报:每年,熟悉当地农业背景的本地访谈员都会接受彻底的简报,以确保完全理解问卷,从而从受访者那里获得无偏差、准确的答案。 • 答案交叉验证: o Kynetec通过数字数据录入工具捕获所有种植者的回答。在此工具中自动实现了各种逻辑和一致性检查(例如,总作物面积(公顷)不能大于农场面积) o Kynetec以三种不同的方式交叉验证种植者的答案: 1. 种植者内部(检查种植者在访谈过程中是否回答一致) 2. 横跨年份(检查种植者在整个年份中是否回答一致) 3. 簇内(比较一个种植者的回答与组内其他人的回答) o 所述所有不一致性都会通过联系种植者并要求他们核实其答案进行跟进。核实后更新数据。所有更新都会被追踪。 • 检查和讨论演变和模式:Kynetec和先正达每月共同计算、讨论和审查全球演变。 • 敏感性分析:进行敏感性分析以评估全球结果,包括异常值、保留率和整体统计稳健性。敏感性分析的结果由Kynetec和先正达共同讨论。 • 建议对使用位置数据集中的管理级别1变量感兴趣的用户谨慎使用此变量,并与邮政编码变量进行交叉检查。 数据评估 --------------------------- 由于上述检查,发现了肥料使用数据中的不规则性,必须对其进行更正: 对于2014年数据收集波次,受访者被要求给出在田间应用的肥料NPK率的总量估计。从2015年起,问卷被重新设计以更加精确,并通过单个肥料产品获取数据。测量肥料投入的新方法导致结果更准确,但也使得年度间的比较变得困难。在评估了几个解决方案之后,通过计算后续年份肥料使用量的加权平均值,重新估计了2014年的肥料使用(NPK输入)。
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