Snowflake's Earnings data

The momentum of Databricks (not yet public) and Snowflake to re-write the reality of data in the Cloud truly is a sight to behold. Snowflake fell in extended trading on Wednesday after the company released third-quarter results that beat estimates but offered light product revenue guidance. However its stock price later bounced back even stronger. Go figure? A lot of hype… SNOW Up 10%, it’s really in a league of its own for growth in the Cloud. With a market cap close to $50 billion (data taken from its stock price in Excel), it’s hard to evaluate the business fundamentals away from the hype. The promise of unified data is very tantalizing indeed, yet when Databricks goes public, I don’t see Snowflake dominating like it has been in recent times. The Company’s platform enables customers to consolidate data into a single source to drive business insights, build data-driven applications and share data. Snowflake said it anticipates product revenue will be between $535 and $540 million in its fourth quarter, short of the $553 million expected by analysts estimates according to StreetAccount. Yet investors don’t seem to mind. Snowflake Inc. Shares have lost about 59.7% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's decline of -17%. The recent low was $119 in June, 2022. You can read their Earnings here. Snowflake Earnings Product revenue of $522.8 million in the third quarter, representing 67% year-over-year growth Remaining performance obligations of $3.0 billion, representing 66% year-over-year growth 7,292 total customers Net revenue retention rate of 165% 287 customers with trailing 12-month product revenue greater than $1 million Revenue for the quarter was $557.0 million, representing 67% year-over-year growth. I can see why Snowflake is so popular though. Snowflake is Wildly Popular Currently Snowflake is wildly popular as one of the best growth stocks, . Snowflake provides an end to end data warehousing solution. There is practically no limit to the amount of databases and warehouses you can create (Ofcourse, you need Snowflake credits for creating and using warehouses). It's a highly scalable solution that adheres to all the data security best practices. I do believe Databricks is the better company in the end, but time will tell. Why would this company have a market cap of $50 billion already? They have 5,000 employees, lose money at a good clip and will experience significant competition in the coming years. Net Loss is Concerning Snowflake may not respond well to the significant slowdown in spending we are likely to see in 2023. It needs to significantly reset to be tempting. It does have 287 customers with trailing 12-month product revenue greater than $1 million which is encouraging. It’s growth in the 45-50% range is still very impressive for a company of its size. After 2023 we’ll have a much better idea of the real momentum of Snowflake. Snowflake reported 34% year-over-year growth in the number of customers, reaching 7,292 in the reported quarter. The company added 28 Forbes Global 2000 customers in the reported quarter. Snowflake signed 14 new customers with $1 million in trailing 12-month product revenues in the reported quarter. The real question is how much will it slow down in 2023. The Data Cloud is still Nascent While it’s appealing to invest in first-movers like Snowflake or later Databricks, how will competition and the Data cloud continue to evolve? It’s fairly hard to predict. Snowflake is not a traditional SaaS model, it’s pay as you go consumption based. It’s not yet clear if this is the right business model for optimal profitability. 93% of revenue is consumption-based Revenue recognized only as consumption occurs In many cases, rollover of unused capacity permitted, generally on the purchase of additional capacity Contract durations increasing along with larger customer commitments Primarily billed annually in advance with some on-demand in arrears If you are uncertain of Snowflake’s growth you can visit their visual Earnings PDF. The TAM of the Data Cloud is big enough for room for a lot of different kinds of companies and competitors. In our opinion, Snowflake is in a prime position to compete with AMD, one of the best value stocks. To read more about other Cloud Computing companies, check out: Apple Fair Value Apple P/E Apple EV/EBITDA Microsoft Fair Value Microsoft P/E Microsoft EV/EBITDA Tesla Fair Value Tesla P/E Tesla EV/EBITDA Amazon Fair Value Amazon P/E Amazon EV/EBITDA Netflix Fair Value Netflix P/E Netflix EV/EBITDA