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Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?

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NBER2008-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w13901
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We show that "commodity currency" exchange rates have remarkably robust power in predicting global commodity prices, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and against a variety of alternative benchmarks. This result is of particular interest to policymakers, given the lack of deep forward markets in
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2008-03-01
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