Historical cosmetic talc consumption and incidence of mesothelioma in the United States

Jointpoint Regression Software from the National Cancer Institute was used to model age-adjusted male and female pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma rates in the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) 8, SEER 12, and SEER 22 cancer registries. Linear mixed models were then used to determine if there was a statistical association between U.S. cosmetic talc consumption and the 30-year lagged age-adjusted mesothelioma rates (1) over the reporting period for each registry and (2) for the periods of time identified by the jointpoint model where changes in the rate of mesothelioma occurred. Regardless of the SEER registry used, from the early-1980s through 2020, rates of peritoneal mesothelioma have remained steady or declined. Female pleural mesothelioma rates were unchanged from the early-1980s until 2017 when rates declined, while male rates peaked in the early 1990s and have since declined. Cosmetic talc consumption was not statistically associated with an increased rate of pleural or peritoneal mesothelioma in males or females, suggesting that the use of cosmetic talc products is not associated with the development of mesothelioma.