Chesapeake Bay Nontidal Network 1985-2020: Short- and long-term trends (ver. 2.0, January 2023)

Nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment loads, and changes in loads, in major rivers across the Chesapeake Bay watershed have been calculated using monitoring data from the Chesapeake Bay Nontidal Network (NTN) stations for the period 1985 through 2020. Nutrient and suspended-sediment loads and changes in loads were determined by applying a weighted regression approach called WRTDS (Weighted Regression on Time, Discharge, and Season). The load results represent the total mass of nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended sediment that was exported from each of the NTN watersheds. To determine the trend in loads, the regular annual load (non-Kalman) results are flow normalized to integrate out the year-to-year variability in river discharge. The trend in load is derived from the flow-normalized load timeseries and represents the change in load resulting from changes in sources, delays associated with storage or transport of historical inputs, and (or) implemented management actions. The file containing long- and short-term trends for all applicable NTN monitoring stations is provided in the "Attached Files" section.
First posted: July 25, 2022 (available from author)
Revised: January 2023 (version 2.0)