Out of the Black Box: Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs via Conditional Probabilities
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下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w34965
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资源简介：
Autoregressive LLMs generate text by sampling from estimated probability distributions over the next token, conditional on prior context. We use these probabilities to construct an entropy-based measure of prediction uncertainty, termed inner confidence. In news classification, LLM predictions with
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2026-03-01
