DC2 High resolution future hydrological data for Sweden

Hourly river flow and total runoff were computed for the southern part of Sweden using the hourly version of a high resolution hydrological model S-HYPE, which is operationally used by SMHI. The model was calibrated and validated using radar based hourly precipitation and an operationally used hourly reanalysis temperature data. Projection of the impact of climate change was performed by running the model with hourly forcing data from an ensemble of EURO-COREX climate model simulations over 1971 - 2100. Four GCM-RCM combinations were used under two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The results can be used to assess the risk of riverine flooding in areas located along a small to meso-scale river basin. The results can, in particular, be used to assess the risk of flash flooding that can result from heavy precipitation of short duration.