Model data created by MANDIFORE using ED2 simulating structure and biomass under harvest legacies and climate change as the Morton Arboretum, IL, USA, 2007-2099"

The data in this archive was used to investigate the long-term impacts of harvest-based management strategies on structure and resistance to climate-induced biomass loss using a process-based ecosystem model and an ensemble of climate change drivers in a midwestern USA hardwood forest. The model used was a modified version of the Ecosystem Demography model version 2.1 (ED2) where trees could be grouped based on plant functional type and size allowing for different management regimes to be simulated. The simulation site was an actively managed mid-continental North American temperate deciduous forest at The Morton Arboretum (TMA) near Chicago, USA. The initial conditions (composition and structure) of the forest simulated were initialized using field survey data from 487, 8.92-m radius plots collected in 2018. Different levels of tree removal based on traditional forestry management techniques for temperate deciduous forests were simulated and evaluated for their effects on forest structure and resistance to drought induced mortality for the period of 2006 to 2100. Model initialization and spin up occurred from 2006-2020 at which point management was simulated for the period of 2020-2024 before running without management for 2024 to 2100. Fourteen CMIP5 GCMs were used for meteorological drivers for 2006 to 2100 for both RCP4.5 and RCP 8.5 warming scenarios. CO2 concentration was held constant at 380 ppm over the simulation period. Four management regimes were simulated for each of these GCM-RCP pairings leading to a total of 112 distinct model runs. The four management regimes were group selection, shelterwood, understory thinning and an additional no management scenario served as a control. Data in this archived is separated into the 112 distinct model runs.