Estimated CHD events, strokes, deaths, and events averted following implementation of the CARDIO4Cities approach in Ulaanbaatar, Dakar, and São Paulo for a 2-year implementation phase and a 10-year projection phase.

Event projections for “No CARDIO” assume control rates consistent with baseline control rates (3% for Ulaanbaatar, 13% for Dakar, and 12% for São Paulo). “CARDIO” assumes control rates equivalent to those measured in the last quarter of CARDIO implementation (19% for Ulaanbaatar, 19% for Dakar, and 30% for São Paulo). Control rates were assumed to remain consistent throughout the projection period.