Export Analysis Simulations

This Excel file shows how we predicted the proportion of settlers to have originated from Curlew Caye (focal site) to each of the six additional export sites. For each export site, we calculate the cumulative relative probability of dispersal to that site based on the approximated dispersal kernel and the distance to all reef patches within 35 km. We can then predict the proportion to have originated from Curlew, based on the distance between Curlew and each export site. Additional details are given in Excel comments within the file.